Revenue curve · on time vs. delayed
On timeDelayedYears to LoE
Cost of delay is the metric that makes launch prioritisation concrete. The standard formula: Total cost of delay = lost month costs + peak reduction cost. LEA includes this model as an online dashboard on your own forecast; the calculator below is a simplified illustration.
Total cost of delay
$579M
Lost month costs
$83M
Peak reduction cost
$496M
Per month of delay: $579M. Lost months are taken at peak because loss of exclusivity does not move; the peak reduction applies to every remaining year.
Revenue curve · on time vs. delayed
“Every day of launch delay costs roughly half a million dollars in lost sales.”Tufts CSDD, Getz et al., 2024 (645 drugs)
Your launch dates
We can run this model on your own forecast inside LEA.